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Yale 31 Columbia 23

12 replies on “Yale 31 Columbia 23”

While I agree that Rawlings is clearly the best of the bunch, his second half stats aren’t exactly the stuff of legend:
Att: 14
Comp: 6
Yds: 99
TD: 1
Rushing: 1 carry for 0 yards

Granted, the bar has been set so low that even a mediocre performance looks great by comparison.

Multiply those second-half numbers by 2 and you get a full game that would be considered sub-par for almost any team — but not us!

Bro,
True dat, but I point it out for two reasons:
1) to help set the expectations for freshman Mr. Rawlings such that all us Internet experts aren’t expecting too much from the kid
2) after Columbia had a halftime break to adjust to the change in Yale’s offense, they were able to render our new savior QB merely ordinary — slightly below ordinary, even.
In short, it was promising to see, but let’s not get carried away just yet.

Great to see some turn overs go our way this time, it makes all the difference in the world.

It is a sad state of affairs for Yale football when there is a celebration that we have “found a QB”. This is just another Freshman savior, following a long line of Freshman saviors, that probably won’t pan out. Two weeks ago, there was much celebration over the performance of Trey Whats-his-name. Please try to understand that a football program does not revolve around replacing Jrs and Srs with Freshmen, as has been Reno’s MO since he arrived. In the early years, it was understandable, although not acceptable, because he was playing “his guys”. Now, it’s obvious that Reno has not built a program, he has collected a group of players that he and his staff are unable to properly coach. One reason Freshmen are getting traction is because the upper classmen haven’t been “coached up” and consequently have not improved much since they entered Yale. This is very different from what is going on at most of the other Ivies. Harvard, Dartmouth, Princeton and Penn are way ahead in that regard and Columbia is moving up fast. With Reno at the helm, Yale will be relegated to battling Cornell and Brown for cellar supremacy. Time to begin the search, and pronto.

That is exactly the problem. You can’t develop a high quality experienced team if you keep replacing juniors and seniors with incoming freshmen because you promised them they would play right away. When is this going to end? As for Columbia “adjusting” to Rawlings, let’s be fair – he had a 24-0 lead in the second half, which he made 31-0 before our infamous pass defense collapsed.

There is a very interesting article in today’s YDN by William Min and Mathew Robinson, members of something called the “Yale Undergraduate Sports Analytics Group.” In an argument that is too complicated to repeat here, they look at the 247Sports recruiting rankings for the last four years recruiting classes for each Ivy school and plot them against the current Sagarin’s ratings for each team. They make some adjustments for various factors and then produce a chart showing how each team has performed this year against what the talent level would suggest they should have done (the chart doesn’t reproduce on the YDN’s website).
Their conclusion is that “Yale appears not to be maximizing the talent of its players,” and that “Yale most dramatically underperforms relative to its predicted strength.”
This sort of statistical analysis frequently points out something that you might not otherwise have seen, but in this case it just restates the obvious.

They’ve fixed the page – the charts display now.
While there are some flaws in their approach – which they acknowledge – the results are clear, and they do indeed restate the obvious. Yale regularly accomplishes less with more than any school in the league.

Does anyone care to opine on this week’s tussle? Will #6 be able to duplicate last week’s glorious second quarter now that the opposition can watch him on film? If not, next year’s strategy might dictate a different starting QB for each game. Time to start stocking up.

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